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 | Acceso al texto completo restringido a Biblioteca INIA Treinta y Tres. Por información adicional contacte bibliott@inia.org.uy. |
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Registro completo
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Biblioteca (s) : |
INIA Treinta y Tres. |
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Fecha : |
28/03/2016 |
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Actualizado : |
24/09/2018 |
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Tipo de producción científica : |
Artículos en Revistas Indexadas Internacionales |
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Autor : |
BASSU, S.; BRISSON, N.; DURAND, J.L.; BOOTE, K.; LIZASO, J.; JONES, J.W.; ROSENZWEIG, C.; RUANE, A.C.; ADAM, M.; BARON, C.; BASSO, B.; BIERNATH, C.; BOOGAARD, H.; CONIJN, S.; CORBEELS, M.L; DERYNG, D.; SANTIS, G. DE; GAYLER, S.; GRASSINI, P.; HATFIELD, J.; HOEK, S.; IZAURRALDE, C.; JONGSCHAAP, R.; KEMANIAN, A.R.; KERSEBAUM, C.KIM, S-H.; KUMAR, N.; MAKOWSKI, D.; MÜLLER, C.; NENDEL, C.; PRIESACK, E.; PRAVIA, V.; SAU, F.; SHCHERBAK, I.; TAO, F.; TEXEIRA, E.; TIMLIN, D.; WAHA, K. |
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Afiliación : |
MARIA VIRGINIA PRAVIA NIN, INIA (Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria), Uruguay; Department of Plant Science, The Pennsylvania State University, USA. |
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Título : |
How do various maize crop models vary in their responses to climate change factors? |
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Fecha de publicación : |
2014 |
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Fuente / Imprenta : |
Global Change Biology, 2014, v.20(7), p. 2301-2320. |
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DOI : |
10.1111/gcb.12520 |
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Idioma : |
Inglés |
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Notas : |
Article history: Received 7 June 2013 and accepted 2 December 2013, published 2014. |
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Contenido : |
Abstract:
Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania).
While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2] among models. Model responses to temperature and [CO2] did not differ whether models were simulated with low calibration information or, simulated with high level of calibration information. MenosAbstract:
Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania).
While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2]... Presentar Todo |
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Palabras claves : |
AGMIP; CARBON DIOXIDE; CLIMATE; CO2; GRAIN YIELD; MAIZE; MODEL INTERCOMPARISON; MODELIZACIÓN DE CULTIVOS; SIMULATION MODELS; TEMPERATURE. |
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Thesagro : |
CLIMA; DIOXIDO DE CARBONO; INCERTIDUMBRE; MAÍZ; MODELOS DE SIMULACIÓN; TEMPERATURA. |
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Asunto categoría : |
U10 Métodos matemáticos y estadísticos |
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Marc : |
LEADER 03684naa a2200769 a 4500
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008 2014 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d
024 7 $a10.1111/gcb.12520$2DOI
100 1 $aBASSU, S.
245 $aHow do various maize crop models vary in their responses to climate change factors?$h[electronic resource]
260 $c2014
500 $aArticle history: Received 7 June 2013 and accepted 2 December 2013, published 2014.
520 $aAbstract: Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania). While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2] among models. Model responses to temperature and [CO2] did not differ whether models were simulated with low calibration information or, simulated with high level of calibration information.
650 $aCLIMA
650 $aDIOXIDO DE CARBONO
650 $aINCERTIDUMBRE
650 $aMAÍZ
650 $aMODELOS DE SIMULACIÓN
650 $aTEMPERATURA
653 $aAGMIP
653 $aCARBON DIOXIDE
653 $aCLIMATE
653 $aCO2
653 $aGRAIN YIELD
653 $aMAIZE
653 $aMODEL INTERCOMPARISON
653 $aMODELIZACIÓN DE CULTIVOS
653 $aSIMULATION MODELS
653 $aTEMPERATURE
700 1 $aBRISSON, N.
700 1 $aDURAND, J.L.
700 1 $aBOOTE, K.
700 1 $aLIZASO, J.
700 1 $aJONES, J.W.
700 1 $aROSENZWEIG, C.
700 1 $aRUANE, A.C.
700 1 $aADAM, M.
700 1 $aBARON, C.
700 1 $aBASSO, B.
700 1 $aBIERNATH, C.
700 1 $aBOOGAARD, H.
700 1 $aCONIJN, S.
700 1 $aCORBEELS, M.L
700 1 $aDERYNG, D.
700 1 $aSANTIS, G. DE
700 1 $aGAYLER, S.
700 1 $aGRASSINI, P.
700 1 $aHATFIELD, J.
700 1 $aHOEK, S.
700 1 $aIZAURRALDE, C.
700 1 $aJONGSCHAAP, R.
700 1 $aKEMANIAN, A.R.
700 1 $aKERSEBAUM, C.KIM, S-H.
700 1 $aKUMAR, N.
700 1 $aMAKOWSKI, D.
700 1 $aMÜLLER, C.
700 1 $aNENDEL, C.
700 1 $aPRIESACK, E.
700 1 $aPRAVIA, V.
700 1 $aSAU, F.
700 1 $aSHCHERBAK, I.
700 1 $aTAO, F.
700 1 $aTEXEIRA, E.
700 1 $aTIMLIN, D.
700 1 $aWAHA, K.
773 $tGlobal Change Biology, 2014$gv.20(7), p. 2301-2320.
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Registro original : |
INIA Treinta y Tres (TT) |
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Registro completo
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Biblioteca (s) : |
INIA La Estanzuela; INIA Tacuarembó. |
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Fecha actual : |
21/02/2014 |
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Actualizado : |
27/05/2015 |
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Tipo de producción científica : |
Actividades de Difusión |
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Autor : |
GARCÍA, J.A. |
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Afiliación : |
JAIME ANTONIO GARCIA RADICH, INIA (Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria), Uruguay. |
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Título : |
Leguminosas anuales. |
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Fecha de publicación : |
1995 |
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Fuente / Imprenta : |
ln: Día de Campo, 1995, La Estanzuela, Colonia, UY. Pasturas y ovinos. La Estanzuela: INIA, 1995. |
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Páginas : |
p. 5-6. |
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Serie : |
(Serie Actividades de Difusión, 78). |
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ISSN : |
1688-9258. |
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Idioma : |
Español |
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Palabras claves : |
ORNITHOPUS COMPRESSUS; ORNITHOPUS SATIVUS; ORNITOPUS INIA ENCANTADA; ORNITOPUS KOHA; TRÉBOL ALEJANDRINO; TRIFOLIUM CHERLERI; TRIFOLIUM CHERLERI SEL LE; TRIFOLIUM HIRTUM SEL LE; TRIFOLIUM RESUPINATUM KYAMBRO; TRIFOLIUM SUBTERRANEUM WOOGENELLUP. |
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Thesagro : |
RENDIMIENTO DE CULTIVOS; TRIFOLIUM ALEXANDRINUM; TRIFOLIUM HIRTUM; TRIFOLIUM RESUPINATUM; TRIFOLIUM SUBTERRANEUM. |
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Asunto categoría : |
--
F30 Genética vegetal y fitomejoramiento |
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URL : |
http://www.ainfo.inia.uy/digital/bitstream/item/4529/1/UY.INIA.1995.SAD.no.78.p.5-6-leguminosas-anuales-GARCIA.pdf
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Marc : |
LEADER 01014naa a2200325 a 4500
001 1041207
005 2015-05-27
008 1995 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d
022 $a1688-9258.
100 1 $aGARCÍA, J.A.
245 $aLeguminosas anuales.
260 $c1995
300 $ap. 5-6.
490 $a(Serie Actividades de Difusión, 78).
650 $aRENDIMIENTO DE CULTIVOS
650 $aTRIFOLIUM ALEXANDRINUM
650 $aTRIFOLIUM HIRTUM
650 $aTRIFOLIUM RESUPINATUM
650 $aTRIFOLIUM SUBTERRANEUM
653 $aORNITHOPUS COMPRESSUS
653 $aORNITHOPUS SATIVUS
653 $aORNITOPUS INIA ENCANTADA
653 $aORNITOPUS KOHA
653 $aTRÉBOL ALEJANDRINO
653 $aTRIFOLIUM CHERLERI
653 $aTRIFOLIUM CHERLERI SEL LE
653 $aTRIFOLIUM HIRTUM SEL LE
653 $aTRIFOLIUM RESUPINATUM KYAMBRO
653 $aTRIFOLIUM SUBTERRANEUM WOOGENELLUP
773 $tln: Día de Campo, 1995, La Estanzuela, Colonia, UY. Pasturas y ovinos. La Estanzuela: INIA, 1995.
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INIA La Estanzuela (LE) |
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