03092naa a2200313 a 450000100080000000500110000800800410001902200140006002400270007410000160010124501560011726000090027350006670028252014640094965300190241365300170243265300250244965300220247470000160249670000160251270000160252870000160254470000160256070000170257670000170259370000160261070000200262677301320264610606952020-05-29 2020 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d a0931-26687 a10.1111/jbg.124592DOI1 aSILVA, D.A. aAutoregressive and random regression test-day models for multiple lactations in genetic evaluation of Brazilian Holstein cattle.h[electronic resource] c2020 aArticle history: Received: 10 July 2019 / Revised: 31 October 2019 / Accepted: 3 November 2019 / First published: 08 December 2019. Funding information: The authors acknowledge the Brazilian Holstein Cattle Breeders Association (ABCBRH) for providing data for this study. This study was partially financed by Coordination for the Improvement of Higher Education Personnel and Portuguese National Funding Agency for Science, Research and Technology (CAPES/FCT, nº 99999.008462/2014‐03 and 88887.125450/2016‐00), and National Council of Technological and Scientific Development (CNPq 465377/2014‐9 ‐ PROGRAMA INCT and CNPq 142467/2015­4). aABSTRACT. Autoregressive (AR) and random regression (RR) models were fitted to test-day records from the first three lactations of Brazilian Holstein cattle with the objective of comparing their efficiency for national genetic evaluations. The data comprised 4,142,740 records of milk yield (MY) and somatic cell score (SCS) from 274,335 cows belonging to 2,322 herds. Although heritabilities were similar between models and traits, additive genetic variance estimates using AR were 7.0 (MY) and 22.2% (SCS) higher than those obtained from RR model. On the other hand, residual variances were lower in both traits when estimated through AR model. The rank correlation between EBV obtained from AR and RR models was 0.96 and 0.94 (MY) and 0.97 and 0.95 (SCS), respectively, for bulls (with 10 or more daughters) and cows. Estimated annual genetic gains for bulls (cows) obtained using AR were 46.11 (49.50) kg for MY and −0.019 (−0.025) score for SCS; whereas using RR these values were 47.70 (55.56) kg and −0.022 (−0.028) score. Akaike information criterion was lower for AR in both traits. Although AR model is more parsimonious, RR model assumes genetic correlations different from the unity within and across lactations. Thus, when these correlations are relatively high, these models tend to yield to similar predictions; otherwise, they will differ more and RR model would be theoretically sounder. © 2019 Blackwell Verlag GmbH aAutoregression aDairy cattle aLegendre polynomials aRandom regression1 aCOSTA, C.N.1 aSILVA, A.A.1 aSILVA, H.T.1 aLOPES, P.S.1 aSILVA, F.F.1 aVERONEZE, R.1 aTHOMPSON, G.1 aAGUILAR, I.1 aCARVALHEIRA, J. tJournal of Animal Breeding and Genetics, 1 May 2020, Volume 137, Issue 3, Pages 305-315. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/jbg.12459